2024-11-21 08:36:22 EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

Exponential Growth

NÞ = Number of cases on a given dayA = Average number ppls someone infected is exposed to p = Probability of each exposure becoming an infection ΔNÞ = A x p x NÞ ΔNÞ = Change over a day If this truly is a pandemic we should see a number of one million infected people April 5th, 100 million by May 9th and a billion May 26th, 2020. ¿WHEN? the inflection point of COVID-19 normalize to a logistic curve is....interesting. Think of the rabbits on an island I wrote in a different splash about a month ago. We cannot infect people who already had or already have it.